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通胀担忧缓解，美联储或降息 

CPI 数据符合预期 

周三，美国消费者价格指数 (CPI) 上涨 0.3%，与预期一致，也是自 4 月以来最大涨幅。美国 CPI 数据符合预期后，美元走强，美元指数上涨 0.23%，收于 106.62。 

(美元指数日线图，来源：Trading View) 

(美元指数日线图，来源：Trading View) 

尽管通胀仍然居高不下，但有一些积极的迹象。租金，通常是通胀的一个顽固成分，涨幅为近三年半以来最慢。此外，汽车保险费用的上涨，另一个问题类别，也放缓了。这些因素导致服务业通胀增速放缓。通胀持续降温将是积极的，尽管新政府潜在的关税政策可能带来风险。 

CPI 数据强化了市场对美联储下周降息的预期。根据 CME 的 FedWatch 工具，12 月 18 日降息 25 个基点的概率已升至 94% 以上。市场高度相信美联储将继续降息，因为央行很少偏离如此强烈的市场预期。 

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本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料仅供参考，旨在帮助读者了解市场形势，并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性，但不能保证资料的绝对准确性，并可能随时更改，恕不另行通知。Ultima Markets对于因直接或间接使用或依赖此类资料而可能导致的任何损失或亏损（包括但不限于利润损失）不承担责任。 

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