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I confirm my intention to proceed and enter this website德国在12月年度通胀率显著上升并高于预期,原因是食品价格上涨以及能源成本的降幅小于前一个月。根据联邦统计局周一公布的数据,统一计算的年度消费者价格指数(CPI)通胀率上升至2.9%,高于分析师预测的2.6%。相比11月的2.4%,德国经济表现有所改善,得益于通胀率的上升。
(德国通胀月度变化图表,来源:德国联邦统计局)
经济学家密切关注德国的通胀数据,因为德国的数据通常在欧元区通胀数据发布前一天公布。最新的通胀数据将成为欧洲央行1月30日会议前的重要参考因素。据预测,欧元区12月的通胀率将从11月的2.2%上升至2.4%。然而,当前的通胀上升对欧元区经济体来说并不是一个重大问题,因为预计到2025年欧洲的通胀压力将有所缓解。
根据联邦统计局的预测,德国2024年的年度平均通胀率预计为2.2%,相比2023年的5.9%大幅下降。12月的核心通胀率缓慢上升至3.1%,而11月为3.0%。尽管能源价格同比下降了1.7%,食品价格却在同一时期同比上涨了2.0%。服务业通胀率在12月小幅上升至4.1%,高于前两个月的4.0%。
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