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欧元因欧洲央行降息25个基点下跌 

欧洲央行按预期降息至3% 

周四，欧洲中央银行（ECB）将基准利率下调25个基点至3%，这一决定符合市场预期。这是2024年的第四次降息，欧洲央行暗示，随着通胀接近目标且经济增长持续低迷，未来可能进一步降息。受此影响，欧元兑美元下跌0.28%，收盘报1.0466。 

（EUR/USD日线价格图，来源：Trading View） 

（EUR/USD日线价格图，来源：Trading View） 

“借贷条件正在改善，因为管委会最近的降息逐步降低了家庭和企业的融资成本，” 欧洲央行表示。然而，欧洲央行也承认，由于货币政策仍然具有限制性，加之过去加息对现有贷款的滞后影响，整体借贷环境仍显紧张。尽管对限制性利率的具体定义尚无共识，经济学家普遍认为中性利率（既不促进也不抑制增长）在2%至2.5%之间。 

此外，欧洲央行将一周贷款利率降至3.15%，隔夜贷款利率降至3.40%。然而，由于欧洲央行通过大规模债券购买计划和长期贷款向银行系统注入了过多的储备，这些工具近年来使用频率不高。 

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