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不见美联储减息,美元指数保牛气

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2025年7月31日的USDX深入分析

USDX 技术分析

USDX 日线图表分析

(USDX 日线图,来源Ultima Markets MT5)

(USDX 日线图,来源Ultima Markets MT5)

  • 熊市反弹(短期):6月下旬触底后,指数进入短暂的逆势反弹。最近的价格走势已经突破紫色短期移动平均线,K线释出积极的势头。除非击破重大阻力区,否则这种上行走势在广泛空头架构中视修正作用。随机振荡指标已达到 80 以上的深度超买水平,显示当前的反弹可能过度扩张,容易出现盘整或逆转。
  • 关键支撑区域:若指数无法突破98.86阻力位并回落至近期98.00支撑位(紫色MA)下方,则表示修正反弹已经结束。彻底跌破关键支撑位 97.00 将确认下行趋势的恢复,并极有可能重新测试主要支撑位 96.46。收低于 96.46 将验证持续的长期看空市场结构。

USDX 2小时图表分析

(USDX 2小时图,来源Ultima Markets MT5)

(USDX 2小时图,来源Ultima Markets MT5)

  • 盘整机会:随机振荡指标已进入80以上的超买状态。虽然这证实了当前势头,但也表明市场可能准备好进行盘整或适度调整,然后才恢复上升轨迹。
  • 突破情境:在看涨突破情境中,持续2小时收于99.65的直接阻力位上方,可确认强劲上升趋势的延续,并可能测试100.00的主要心理阻力位。相反地,在看跌突破情景中,下挫至 98.55 的直接支撑位下方将代表动能减弱的初步迹象,并可能催化更大幅度的回调。跌破关键支撑位 98.28 将出现更重卖压,也表示当前看涨势头的结束,并可能促使价格向主要支撑位 97.66 进行修正。如果 97.66 水平未能守住,整个熊市反弹也许告终。

USDX 枢纽线指标

(USDX 30分钟图,来源Ultima Markets MT5)

(USDX 30分钟图,来源Ultima Markets MT5)

  • 价格攀至近期高峰后回落盘整,这种行为在强升中非常典型。随机振荡指标仍低于极端超买水平,这意味着一旦这盘整阶段结束,仍有上行空间。
  • 多头突破:成功收在99.685阻力位上方,可确认盘整期的结束,并预示上升趋势的恢复。步伐迈向 99.800 甚至 100.00 心理门槛。
  • 空头突破:摔落99.435(紫色MA)下方吐露初步疲软迹象,意味着回档机会。当跌破 99.060 的结构支撑位时,出现更明确的看跌讯号。这样的发展将逆转节奏,并促使测试 98.885(黑色 MA)附近的关键动态支撑。

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