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美元指数V转面临阻力测试

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2026年2月5日的USDX深入分析

USDX 技术分析

USDX 日线图表分析

USDX 技术分析

(USDX 日线图,来源Ultima Markets MT5)

  • 美元指数上演反趋势回弹。对多头而言,只要价格维持在97.00之上,看涨情境仍然有效,上行目标为98.15。对空头而言,若价格触及98.15 – 99.00区间并开始失去动能,则看空情境启动。短期内可能走强至98.15,但交易者应视此为关键转折点,阻力会出现以捍卫更广泛下行格局。
  • 关键水平:指数面临三个主要阻力位:第一个位于98.15 – 98.40,代表由黑色移动平均线和下跌前近期整理所定义的实时阻力,价格通常在首次尝试时难以突破这条均值回归线;第二个位于99.00 – 99.25,是最关键的区域,与绿色移动平均线和先前的波段高点一致,根据历史趋势,在此遭遇回档的可能性极高;第三个位于100.12,标志着2025年10-11月的波段高点。在支撑方面,第一个水平位于97.00 – 97.20,代表紫色移动平均线与近期价格密集区的交汇点,预计将在回调期间充当更高低点的底部;第二个位于96.40,是暴跌前建立的中期支撑位;第三个位于95.50 – 95.60,是标志近期急跌绝对低点的关键底部,并作为最后防线——跌破预示下行动能恢复。

USDX 2小时图表分析

USDX 技术分析

(USDX 2小时图,来源Ultima Markets MT5)

  • 价格来到战术性转折点,反弹交易的直接获利已被捕获。买盘面临的挑战是证明其力量足以对抗由绿色移动平均线所代表的长期趋势线。应密切关注97.55——若价格在此停滞,未能在接下来的2-3K棒(4-6小时)内突破,鉴于当前超买状况,回调至97.00的可能性将大幅上升。
  • 突破情境:价格在绿色移动平均线处受压,形成两种潜在情境:看涨突破需要2小时K确认收高97.65,理想的确认信号来自随机指标持续嵌入80以上的超买,显示持续的买盘压力,目标指向98.25;另一方面,目前绿色移动平均线的主要阻力与超买的随机指标组合呈现经典的反转设置,看跌触发信号是在当前97.55形成反转K形态——如看跌吞没或长上影线——随后随机指标回穿至80下方,目标指向下方移动平均线缺口,价格可能寻求在97.00附近重新连接黑色移动平均线。

USDX 枢纽线指标

USDX 技术分析

(USDX 30分钟图,来源Ultima Markets MT5)

  • 振荡指标从超卖/中性区(约20-30)上升并穿越50。这是一个建设性信号。它表明近期的小幅回调已缓解超买状况,动能正在聚集以进行另一波向上推动,重新测试高点。
  • 看多:价格目前正从紫色和黑色移动平均线之间反弹,看涨触发需要突破并收于97.56上方。确认信号来自随机指标持续上升至80而不回穿下行,目标指向97.80附近的新高。所有三条移动平均线的向上倾斜为这一情境提供结构性支撑。
  • 看空:若价格未能在97.56上方建立新高反而回落,看跌触发将是确认收于黑色移动平均线下方约97.30处。鉴于该线已支撑趋势数日,这样的收盘将代表走势特征的重大转变,可能触发更深度的修正,下探至绿色移动平均线97.10处。

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