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消息纷扰引空军,美元抹去月涨幅

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2026年1月21日的USDX深入分析

USDX 技术分析

USDX 日线图表分析

USDX 技术分析

(USDX 日线图,来源Ultima Markets MT5)

  • 近期形成了一个显著的看空吞没K,完全抹去前两天的涨幅,卖盘在高位重新取得主导地位。实时阻力区位于98.85至99.00附近,作为当前的上缘。价格在此遭到拒绝,其与中期移动平均线重合。交易者应密切观察97.80支撑位。随着阻力位出现看跌吞没形态,且震荡指标开始向下转折,未来几个交易时段的动能似乎倾向下行。任何在移动平均线处的额外拒绝都值得仔细关注。
  • 关键价位:实时阻力区位于98.85至99.00,与中期移动平均线重合,价格最近在此遭到拒绝。主要阻力位在99.70至99.80,包含长期移动平均线,需要突破此水平才能改变看空前景,而100.29的周期高点标志着11月的峰值。在支撑方面,97.80附近的实时支撑代表一个小型心理水平和先前的盘整区域,而97.20的次要支撑若被测试将确认「更低低点」形态。95.90至96.20区间的主要支撑标志着9月的多月低点,并作为当前价格结构的最终底部。

USDX 2小时图表分析

USDX 技术分析

(USDX 2小时图,来源Ultima Markets MT5)

  • 卖盘控制着H2线图。在这种环境下,主要策略是在移动平均线逢高做空,特别是在98.50区域附近,同时将下行目标设定在98.10和97.80。
  • 突破情境:看跌延续代表最高概率情境,最有可能出现弱势反弹至98.45至98.55阻力区,随后遭到拒绝,而跌破近期低点98.08确认下跌趋势动能持续向97.80水平推进。若价格短暂突破98.55的绿色移动平均线,可能会出现「多头陷阱」情境,暂时吸引买盘进场,但若无法守住并迅速反转回落,将形成假突破,导致加速下行。要实现趋势中和,指数需要收复并收于98.80之上,这可缓解实时的看空压力,并可能使线图转入横向盘整。

USDX 枢纽线指标

USDX 技术分析

(USDX 30分钟图,来源Ultima Markets MT5)

  • 技术配置目前有利于卖盘。随机震荡指标出现看跌交叉,且价格持续受制于紫色移动平均线下方,现有区间向下突破的可能性升高。交易者应等待决定性的K棒收低98.20,以确认延续性下行操作。
  • 看空突破(首选情境):若价格跌破并收于98.20下方,确认盘整阶段仅是下跌趋势中的暂停。这可能导致快速测试98.08低点,并进一步向更高时间框架上确定的97.80水平推进。
  • 看多假突破/回弹:突破98.40上方可能导致快速「挤压」至98.55(黑色移动平均线)。然而,除非价格能收复绿色移动平均线,否则任何上行走势都应视为更大下跌趋势中的暂时修正。

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