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货币宽松助力铜价缓步走扬

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2025年12月11日的铜价深入分析

Copper技术分析

Copper日线图表分析

(Copper 日线图,来源Ultima Markets MT5)

(Copper 日线图,来源Ultima Markets MT5)

  • 铜的图表结构呈现看涨态势。在2025年7月/8月经历严重崩盘后,该金属在过去四个月形成了经典的「圆底」复甦形态。价格目前交投于所有三条关键移动平均线之上,确认了买盘动能。紫色均线在11和12月提供可靠的支撑,买方持续在此水平进场,推动价格创下新的局部高点。除非价格收盘跌破5.00,否则看涨趋势仍然有效,跌破5.00将打破更高低点的形态,并可能引发向长期绿色均线4.75附近的下跌。
  • 关键水平:直接阻力位位于5.35,日线收盘突破此位触发下一波涨势。第二道阻力位约在5.5200,显示大幅飙升前7月中旬的价格挤压区和波段高点,而最终长期目标为5.8660,即2025年7月的周期峰值。第一支撑区在5.1800 – 5.2000,与紫色移动平均线重合,作为第一道防线,其次是5.0000 – 5.0110,标志着心理整数关口和先前的整固区,黑色均线朝此水平上升。若跌破4.8400这个10月下旬的重要波段低点,将损害看涨趋势结构。

Copper 2小时图表分析

Copper技术分析

(Copper 2小时图,来源Ultima Markets MT5)

  • 线图显示修正已经结束。在回调至5.28 – 5.29时寻找买入机会,目标为5.38,前提是价格保持在5.24波段低点之上。
  • 突破情境:在看涨延续情境中,关注价格干净突破并守住5.3350,并由紫色均线重新上穿黑色均线确认。若此情况发生,价格可能会迅速测试5.3800,而突破5.38可能导致加速上涨至5.42+。在整固或失败情境中,若在5.33遭遇拒绝后跌破5.28的均线位置,表明价格可能需要在5.28和5.33间横向整理以冷却指标,然后再冲击高点,因为随机指标已升至89的高位。若跌破5.2370,H2趋势将转为看跌,目标可能指向5.17的绿线。

Copper 枢纽线指标

Copper技术分析

(Copper 30分钟图,来源Ultima Markets MT5)

  • 趋势已转为看多。预期在可能延续至5.36 – 5.39前,会出现短暂整固或小幅回调以冷却随机指标。
  • 「逢低买入」:鉴于随机指标处于95,在5.3414追价存在风险。等待小幅回撤至5.3100 – 5.3200,若价格触及5.31并显示反弹迹象,或紫色均线追上价格,将提供高概率入场机会,目标是突破5.34至5.36的走势。
  • 强力突破:若成交量强劲足以忽略超买状况,铜价可能会毫不回头地冲破5.3414。M30蜡烛确认收盘于5.3420之上触发涨势至5.3660。

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