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新西兰存经济压力,纽元贬值趋势或稍作喘息 

今日Ultima Markets 为您带来了 2023 10 13日欧元兑纽元的深入分析。 

基本面要点 

  • 美国CPI上涨:9月美国CPI连续第二个月上涨,这可能会支持美联储在更长时间内保持较高利率的意图。 
  • 新西兰制造业指数:新西兰9月制造业表现指数继续下行,9月指数 45.3,前值46.1。凸显了 新西兰制造业依旧萎靡。 
  • 纽联储主席讲话:新西兰联储主席奥尔近期表示,新西兰联储利率需要在可预见的未来保持紧缩。这降低了此前市场的预期,新西兰联储将在11月利率或将保持不变。 

技术分析 

日线图表分析

(欧元兑纽元日线图,来源Ultima Markets MT4) 

  • K线结构:行情最终走出了另一种孕线突破结构,正如周三所分析,行情在孕线突破后将在本周大概率展开多头趋势,目前即将形成W形的筑底结构。 
  • 均线组:均线技术指标来看,汇价最终还是在240日受阻反弹,上方接近33日和65日均线,这附近也是1.78238阻力一带。汇价今日有一定受阻调整的概率。 

4小时图表分析 

(欧元兑纽元4小时图,来源Ultima Markets MT4) 

  • 随机震荡指标:技术指标显示行情已经严重超买,行情有极强的动力进行调整。 
  • 均线组合:欧元兑纽元上方即是200周期均线,与日线周期类似,联合的阻力区域将压制汇价进一步上行。 
  • 艾略特波浪:昨日以来的快速上涨目前判断为驱动浪3,汇价在出现回调后有一定概率回踩上行通道上沿,同时是65与33周期一带的均线支撑位。 

枢纽线指标 

(欧元兑纽元1小时图,来源Ultima Markets MT4) 

  • 根据Ultima Markets MT4中的pivot指标,当日中枢价位1.77224, 
  • 1.77224之上看涨,第一目标1.78287,第二目标1.78902 
  • 1.77224之下看跌,第一目标1.76614,第二目标1.75563 

免责声明  

本文所含评论、新闻、研究、分析、价格及其他资料只能视作一般市场资讯,仅为协助读者了解市场形势而提供,并不构成投资建议。Ultima Markets已采取合理措施确保资料的准确性,但不能保证资料的精确度,及可随时更改而毋须作出通知。Ultima Markets不会为直接或间接使用或依赖此等资料而可能引致的任何亏损或损失(包括但不限于任何盈利的损失)负责。  

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